Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COMP5692 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 30.027902 32.173386 34.499251 37.227155 40.364313 43.891051 48.202298
2025-11-09 26.300048 29.054587 32.216051 36.174013 41.089297 47.128971 55.348458
2025-11-16 23.960024 26.930686 30.454239 35.042388 41.024648 48.829040 60.311357
2025-11-23 22.953556 26.216700 30.209133 35.610693 43.009511 53.296759 69.835351
2025-11-30 21.888945 25.301459 29.575604 35.532753 44.022668 56.477546 78.165619
2025-12-07 20.873451 24.353408 28.793114 35.130713 44.464113 58.803223 85.662506
2025-12-14 19.558294 22.931739 27.278043 33.563052 42.988107 57.852355 86.928681
2025-12-21 18.991420 22.447028 26.971644 33.657010 43.995508 61.063509 97.209270
2025-12-28 18.588769 22.149152 26.887652 34.045980 45.480640 65.326976 111.445806
2026-01-04 17.845928 21.354707 26.065131 33.266392 44.975966 65.882396 117.241706
2026-01-11 17.621599 21.249049 26.196051 33.927020 46.925129 71.441223 139.022524
2026-01-18 17.409750 21.145699 26.317115 34.571538 48.915317 77.543189 167.463931
2026-01-25 16.868900 20.639668 25.939502 34.587371 50.154632 83.254367 205.723733
2026-02-01 16.089038 19.771512 24.994676 33.632106 49.524495 84.723609 231.264458
2026-02-08 15.377797 18.962080 24.082541 32.640388 48.666250 85.382225 255.452365
2026-02-15 15.100794 18.757756 24.063734 33.140300 50.822435 94.670236 366.523407
2026-02-22 14.712514 18.370437 23.736669 33.071785 51.798080 101.201866 509.253428
2026-03-01 14.290236 17.913221 23.272908 32.717771 52.104269 105.908744 703.512681
2026-03-08 13.667211 17.137154 22.273595 31.333673 49.962185 101.862578 693.313547
2026-03-15 13.405974 16.887475 22.092475 31.416799 51.135587 109.768132 1256.800970
2026-03-22 13.216856 16.736194 22.057319 31.760692 52.970687 121.348707 5563.427270
2026-03-29 12.827863 16.270079 21.493007 31.071075 52.231107 122.324128 24676.394047
2026-04-05 12.715700 16.217934 21.596820 31.655557 54.729405 139.262821 NaN